Adverse Weather Threatens Grain Harvest in Russia's Rostov Region

The Rostov region, Russia's largest grain-producing area, is facing significant challenges due to adverse weather conditions. High temperatures and a lack of rainfall have raised concerns about the upcoming grain harvest. The situation is further complicated by the aftermath of damaging spring frosts, which have already impacted crop yields.

Governor Yuri Slyusar has declared a farming emergency in the region, enabling farmers to seek compensation for their losses. Experts from the Russian Grain Union and Sovecon consultancy predict reduced yields, despite some recent rainfall. The combination of frost and drought is impacting both winter and spring crops, with soil moisture insufficient in deeper layers.

This is not the first time the Rostov region has faced such challenges. In 2024, the region experienced a 22% drop in grain output, including a 38% reduction in wheat harvest. Nationally, Russia’s grain production declined by nearly 14% last year. Although earlier forecasts anticipated a 20% increase in Rostov’s 2025 harvest, ongoing adverse weather and economic pressures—including a sharp rise in farming costs and a drop in profit margins—cast doubt on achieving that target.

Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut noted that while frost damage this year is estimated at only 10% of last year’s, soil moisture scarcity remains a significant risk for crop development. The declaration of a farming emergency is expected to provide some relief to farmers, but the long-term outlook remains uncertain.

The Rostov region's grain harvest is under threat due to a combination of high temperatures, lack of rainfall, and previous frost damage. The situation underscores the vulnerability of agriculture to climate variability and the importance of adaptive measures to mitigate such risks.

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